A CT-based score for predicting histopathological usual interstitial pneumonia features and predicting disease progression in smokers with fibrotic idiopathic interstitial pneumonia
OBJECTIVES: Histopathological usual interstitial pneumonia (UIP) features are associated with progressive fibrosis but may be overlooked in smokers, where emphysema and smoking-related fibrosis complicate CT-based UIP classification. This study aimed to develop and validate a CT-based score to detect histopathological UIP features and to evaluate its association with disease progression in smokers with fibrotic idiopathic interstitial pneumonia (IIP). MATERIALS AND METHODS: This retrospective multicentre study included two biopsy-proven cohorts of smokers with fibrotic IIP: derivation (n = 242; nationwide registry) and validation (n = 126; single-centre database, 2008-2013). Three predefined HRCT findings-upper-lobe irregular lines (U), irregularity of pleural surface (I), and pleural-based basal reticulation (P)-were scored (0/1) and summed as the U-I-P score (0-3). Associations with histopathological UIP features and outcomes were assessed using logistic regression, receiver operating characteristic analysis, Cox proportional hazards models, and bootstrap internal validation. RESULTS: Cohorts were similar (median age 65 vs. 64 years; 88% vs. 87% male). Histopathological UIP features were present in 208/242 (86%) and 109/126 (87%) patients. The U-I-P score independently predicted histopathological UIP features in both cohorts (area under the curve, 0.83 and 0.89; both p < 0.001). Bootstrap validation demonstrated minimal optimism, supporting model stability. The U-I-P score independently predicted disease progression at 1 and 2 years in the validation cohort (p = 0.002 and p = 0.001, respectively). CONCLUSION: The U-I-P score detects histopathological UIP features and predicts disease progression in smokers with fibrotic IIP, providing a practical imaging biomarker, even in cases with atypical CT patterns. KEY POINTS: Question: In smokers with fibrotic interstitial lung disease, emphysema and smoking-related fibrosis complicate CT pattern classification, limiting identification of usual interstitial pneumonia pathology. FINDINGS: The U-I-P (upper-lobe irregular lines, irregularity of pleural surface, pleural-based reticulation) score detected histopathological usual interstitial pneumonia features and predicted progression. CLINICAL RELEVANCE: The U-I-P score aids identification of smokers with usual interstitial pneumonia-type fibrosis and increased risk of progression when biopsy is unavailable, or CT patterns are atypical for usual interstitial pneumonia.
- Journal
- European radiology(2026 Jul)
- Authors
- 16名
- Type
- Journal Article